Analogies, MIC’s future and the future of PH, BN, PN coalitions

Encrypted analogies continue as MIC dilly dallies over its political future.

MIC continued to play with encrypted analogies instead of stating upfront of its future political direction.

Deputy president Datuk M Saravanan had claimed that his party was treated like an unwanted child in an interview by Utusan Malaysia.

Latest, Tan Sri SA Vigneswaran alluded to ‘a daughter married off to an irresponsible man‘ instead of manning up about his party’s future political direction.

There are talks that it would leave Barisan Nasional (BN) for the federal opposition alliance, Perikatan Nasional (PN).

Would it or would it not? MIC has good relations with Pakatan Harapan (PH) in Penang and this is reflected in the Penang Hindu Endowment Board make – up.

That is not the case in the other states in Malaysia.

One political observer who declined to be named confirmed that MIC would make its exit next month.

What does it mean for BN? What does this mean for PN? How would it impact PH?

Bad for BN

The exit of MIC, followed by the MCA is a death knell for BN.

The argument of parties such as other parties being able to replace MCA and MIC is too simplistic.

All Malaysian Indian Progressive Front (IPF), Malaysia Makkal Sakthi Party (MMSP) and Kongres India Muslim Malaysia (KIMMA) are all Friends of BN but in no way positioned to fill the gap if and when MIC leaves BN.

The current government is made up of coalitions cooperating with one another. Umno alone does not make up BN, just like Peninsula Malaysia alone does not constitute Malaysia.

Too many cooks spoil the broth, PN

For PN, it means an additional Indian based political party.

MIPP deputy president S Subramaniam has opted for a wait and see approach.

PN recently launched Ikatan Prihatin Rakyat which is made up PN component parties along with opposition parties that are not PN components.

It has MIPP, MAP and Urimai to represent the 7% Indian population. This is aside from Bersatu’s Associate wing and Pas Supporters Congress.

There are going to be more parties eyeing for Indian majority seats.

The reality is there are no Indian majority parliament constituency.

The top three most populated state constituencies are Buntong, Sentosa and Jeram Padang.

The three are in Perak, Selangor and Negeri Sembilan.

Bersatu’s R Sanjeevan has already begun his ground work in Jeram Padang, a seat traditionally contested by MIC.

One less ally for PH

As for PH, this would mean losing a coalition – ally in the general election when the current term ends.

There is also a significant drop in the support of Indians towards PH even though PKR, the party led by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim is made up of considerable percentage of Indians.

The significant drop is reflected and can be seen in a post by PKR vice president Datuk Seri Ramanan Ramakrishnan who posted a video of Anwar visiting Brickfields in conjunction with Deepavali on Oct 20.